INCREDIBLE – AT 9:05 A.M. ET:  Is Trump actually gaining during the Democratic convention?  One major survey says yes.

Usually it's the opposite.  The party on the screen normally gains from its convention.  But a new University of Southern California Dornsife/LA Times survey, using new methods, is showing that Trump is gaining while the Dems are meeting, and that, according to this new method, he should win the election by seven points.

We caution that this is only one poll, and that others may show different results.  What is clear, though, is that the Dem convention is not, up to now, having the impact the Clinton people wanted.  We will be waiting, however, for polls that reflect the nomination of Hillary Clinton yesterday, the speech by Bill Clinton, and the upcoming speech by Barack Obama.  The new methodology is described as follow:

The 2016 USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll represents a pioneering approach to tracking changes in Americans' opinions throughout a campaign for the White House. Around 3000 respondents in our representative panel are asked questions on a regular basis on what they care about most in the election, and on their attitudes toward their preferred candidates. The "Daybreak poll" is updated just after midnight every day of the week.

COMMENT:  We'll update you on how this polling method compares with the others.

July 27,  2016